Monday, September 5, 2011

Big Brother 13 : Rachel Might Actually Win This

There seems to be some debate over whether Rachel is a good player or not.  In this blog I have consistently criticized her game play and pointed out many ways in which she is far from a good player, yet here she is in the final five, soon to be final three.  How Rachel plays these last few weeks will determine, in my mind, if she is a good player or not.  I'm ready to eat crow on her game play if she can pull off the only scenario I see her winning with. 
     Rachel has always been a strong competition player, but what has always lacked in the strategy side of the game.  Unfortunately for her, once you get to the final two competitions cease to matter and it all comes down to votes.  I have also said numerous times in this blog that Big Brother is a numbers game.  You have to make sure with every move you make that you have the amount of votes needed to stay in the house, but at this point in the season you need to start counting the other way.  It now becomes important to count the amount of votes you have in the jury house.  If Rachel take time to do this, she has to see that her only chance of winning is finding a way to get both Jordan and Adam in the jury house.  Counting the possible votes, Daniele, Shelly, Kalia and Porsche will almost certainly vote against her no matter the situation, Jeff, Jordan and Adam will vote for her unless she is up against Jordan, and Brendon is voting for her no matter what.  If she is really a good player, if she really wants to win and not place, then she has to go up against one of the people she has been talking about getting rid of.  I have very little faith that she can look past her emotions enough to see this, but there is a small chance she pulls this thing out.
     Here's this week's rankings...

5) Kalia - unless this week's veto competition is a mental one, she's going home.

4) Adam - I can't believe this guy is still around.  He's floating his way right to the final two.  I though it was funny when he said other then once recently he has been true to one side, when it has been quite obvious each week he sides with whoever has the power.  I will be upset if he ends up winning!

3) Porsche - counting the votes, there is only one way she wins and that is if she goes up against Adam and people don't vote for him because he didn't do anything all season.  Of course, that vote could easily go in his favor because he is better liked.  Either way, the odds of Porsche winning are slim.

2) Rachel - I all ready laid out what she needs to do to win.

1) Jordan - after a couple of weeks out of the top spot, she returns.  If she makes it to the final two, I don't really see a situation where she doesn't win.  She has the votes almost all in her favor.

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